Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e916c8491c9f7b1baf40ae74882e244afa73afac922bbb4880494ceea8c9685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Toledo Rockets, Northern Illinois Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 9c | 1,623$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 26c | 1,233$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 23c | 1,103$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toledo Rockets | 77c | 1,038$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toledo Rockets | 74c | 940.54$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Toledo Rockets | 74c | 350.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Toledo Rockets | 77c | 303.16$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 16c | 270$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Toledo Rockets | 73c | 176$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Toledo Rockets | 77c | 175.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Toledo Rockets | 77c | 108.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Toledo Rockets | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Toledo Rockets | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Toledo Rockets | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Toledo Rockets | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…1baebacked Toledo Rockets | 74c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo Rockets vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesthis page
- Toledo Rockets vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 160.5Under won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 161.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.