CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebe2a9165f9138cf6b370f37c2f9a57c813cf5eaa7e5ddbda23e45474467722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 66c | 1,095$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…ba7ebacked Walczaki | 36c | 893.11$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki | 35c | 640.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.36 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Walczaki | 35c | 514.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.55 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Walczaki | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Oxuji Esports | 55c | 299.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Walczaki | 33c | 296.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.12 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Walczaki | 50c | 205.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Oxuji Esports | 67c | 154.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Walczaki | 34c | 145.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Walczaki | 33c | 114.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Oxuji Esports | 58c | 84.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Walczaki | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Walczaki | 34c | 66.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Walczaki | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Oxuji Esports | 66c | 45.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Oxuji Esports | 70c | 42.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Oxuji Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Oxuji Esports | 68c | 30.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Oxuji Esports | 65c | 24.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.