TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Stetson Hatters

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stetson Hattersof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Stetson Hatters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Stetson Hatters59c4,787$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Stetson Hatters66c1,782$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.422,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c1,732$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.752,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles64c1,601$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.5844549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles42c1,319$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.691,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Stetson Hatters62c1,063$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c992.59$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.161,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles32c949.09$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles36c899.65$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3223,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Stetson Hatters39c599.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stetson Hatters69c498.56$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.94,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles31c480.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles30c397.07$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.121,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles43c353.78$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stetson Hatters35c349$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.852,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles43c344.35$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.281,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles65c305.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles22c300.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stetson Hatters40c298.39$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.182,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles62c214.47$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.974738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles62c155.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles45c151.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Stetson Hatters43c115.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.714,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles61c113.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4235646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles51c103.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Stetson Hatters39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Stetson Hatters41c99.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.551,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles37c99.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.72,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0809…b2f4backed Stetson Hatters63c78.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.131376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Stetson Hatters67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.624959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles58c51.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7449849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles62c49.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7485248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles39c49.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3425239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles60c33.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles44c28.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Stetson Hatters40c27.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.621650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles60c27.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.481,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Stetson Hatters43c23.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2682846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Stetson Hatters47c22.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9715551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.