Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Linda Fruhvirtova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6068f1134220dd6e31b562946abbb5f52a4624273320df9d0dce829b55766849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linda Fruhvirtovaof Varvara Lepchenko, Linda Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,166 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Varvara Lepchenko | 0c | 4,223$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 3,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 27c | 2,182$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.76 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Varvara Lepchenko | 8c | 2,030$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 1,840$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.89 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 75c | 1,706$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.64 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 73c | 1,288$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 79c | 1,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 72c | 1,261$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.1 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 73c | 1,133$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.74 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 75c | 1,129$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.41 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 22c | 1,021$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.62 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Varvara Lepchenko | 22c | 978.84$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 72c | 788.54$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 78c | 772.49$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Varvara Lepchenko | 14c | 609.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Varvara Lepchenko | 29c | 519.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…8285backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 78c | 448.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 72c | 445.85$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Varvara Lepchenko | 28c | 434.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 76c | 424.26$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 76c | 365.32$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Varvara Lepchenko | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Varvara Lepchenko | 25c | 293.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Varvara Lepchenko | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Varvara Lepchenko | 19c | 245$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 23c | 234.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 78c | 107.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 80c | 89.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 73c | 84.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Varvara Lepchenko | 18c | 77.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Varvara Lepchenko | 24c | 72.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Varvara Lepchenko | 27c | 66.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 79c | 60.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…246abacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…ef13backed Varvara Lepchenko | 27c | 50.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Varvara Lepchenko | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…a286backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…a5a3backed Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 78c | 38.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 75c | 23.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Linda Fruhvirtova | 77c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Linda Fruhvirtova | 75c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Linda Fruhvirtovathis page
- Lepchenko vs. Fruhvirtova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Lepchenko vs FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova won
- Set Handicap: Fruhvirtova (-1.5) vs Lepchenko (+1.5)Fruhvirtova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.