Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x613e54bd2bb0bca4280e6ce103b74671a8f7dbbac8ceb5ec6b85fee1ddf2706b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 44c | 1,141$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 807.3$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 410.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 359$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 39c | 250.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…d039backed Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 31c | 146.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 118.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 53c | 115.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 79c | 99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 83.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 49c | 65.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 75c | 61.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 45c | 56.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 56.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…fddfbacked Yes | 43c | 56.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 52.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 49c | 50.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 72c | 21.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 59c | 20.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 62c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-02-03?No won
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.