TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: JD Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,846 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked JD Gaming62c4,370$2,704 inWon+$1,666.542982.8%24 W · 5 L+6.4wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+34.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming40c4,166$1,675 inLost-$1,675.2540944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked JD Gaming77c4,096$3,154 inWon+$94278162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed XLG Gaming23c2,870$660 inLost-$66010242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked XLG Gaming23c1,217$280 inLost-$28028747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked XLG Gaming18c1,003$183 inLost-$1834231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed JD Gaming57c875.35$503 inWon+$372.2639166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed JD Gaming72c628.35$452 inWon+$176.1145250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed XLG Gaming32c557.88$177 inLost-$177.0942540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked XLG Gaming35c453.4$161 inLost-$160.7615217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming29c259.34$75 inLost-$75.41,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked JD Gaming79c221.75$176 inWon+$46.1226758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming79c187.49$149 inWon+$38.741,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed XLG Gaming38c167.98$64 inLost-$64.394042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed JD Gaming72c167.19$121 inWon+$46.441,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed XLG Gaming43c160.44$68 inLost-$68.3225752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed JD Gaming58c135.64$78 inWon+$57.183030%9 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked JD Gaming74c110$81 inWon+$28.61,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked JD Gaming51c86$44 inWon+$42.1421153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed XLG Gaming32c82$26 inLost-$26.2427947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked JD Gaming70c56.71$39 inWon+$17.324032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked XLG Gaming30c50.12$15 inLost-$154257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed JD Gaming65c50$33 inWon+$17.599846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x673e…b0d0backed XLG Gaming41c38.99$16 inLost-$15.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed JD Gaming61c31.67$19 inWon+$12.4124751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed JD Gaming65c25.9$17 inWon+$9.0932261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked JD Gaming80c25$20 inWon+$518457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf604…4976backed XLG Gaming45c23.31$11 inLost-$10.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.