Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617844a1c35c7f0443403536f99fd971e499b7a635a82def05100b45af6038e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 14,022$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,730.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 7,736$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.43 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 52c | 1,309$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 1,299$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.47 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 51c | 1,245$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.1 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 455.55$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 80c | 415$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 51c | 393.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 250.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 243.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 52c | 206.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 71.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 50c | 65.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 55.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 70c | 48.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 70c | 34.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…b0f5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 23.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.