Tennis · resolved market
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Han Shi vs Deniz Dilek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618512e2cecd68c5a464b3168795aacb320c0b886ad2684e7028842512da9a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Han Shiof Han Shi, Deniz Dilek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Han Shi | 77c | 10,531$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.05 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Deniz Dilek | 21c | 3,785$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Deniz Dilek | 14c | 3,488$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Deniz Dilek | 37c | 1,487$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Deniz Dilek | 35c | 857.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Deniz Dilek | 21c | 804.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Han Shi | 79c | 399.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Deniz Dilek | 33c | 275$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Deniz Dilek | 58c | 223.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Deniz Dilek | 29c | 186.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Deniz Dilek | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Deniz Dilek | 34c | 147.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Han Shi | 79c | 144.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Deniz Dilek | 21c | 139.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Han Shi | 79c | 112.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Deniz Dilek | 18c | 92.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Han Shi | 62c | 63.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Han Shi | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Han Shi | 62c | 53.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Deniz Dilek | 20c | 48.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Han Shi | 70c | 39.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Han Shi | 77c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Han Shi | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Han Shi | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Han Shi | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Han Shi | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Han Shi | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.