TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,872 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c1,718$409 inLost-$409.012,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c1,679$1,255 inWon+$424.425,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under28c993.64$274 inLost-$273.92,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over62c502.2$311 inWon+$190.8434747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Over76c409.99$311 inWon+$99.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x999b…abf6backed Over76c199.99$152 inWon+$481369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over79c121.08$96 inWon+$25.218,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4862…7762backed Over46c105.42$49 inWon+$56.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick36cpaid+145.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Under56c91.07$51 inLost-$511741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over61c73.91$45 inWon+$29.021,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under38c68.1$26 inLost-$25.6442562.4%265 W · 160 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c52.08$27 inLost-$27.0823551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over79c50.63$40 inWon+$10.636877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8227…f436backed Over77c34.68$27 inWon+$7.94366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over63c34$21 inWon+$12.582,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad63…c264backed Under43c27.91$12 inLost-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c25.84$13 inLost-$12.6482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Over55c18.8$10 inWon+$8.462254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.