Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x621b6faee274a4ed6170dd500c62eb160c58bac38cda93fcf45b9b5e5e6bd97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 39c | 13,919$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,428.32 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 12,593$7,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.35 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 40c | 6,399$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.78 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 6,079$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 60c | 1,173$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.26 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 997.83$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 30c | 693$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 690.07$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 518.33$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.33 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 61c | 456.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…f899backed No | 41c | 352.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…31e3backed No | 41c | 351.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4243backed Yes | 60c | 346$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…58a0backed Yes | 60c | 345.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 61c | 158.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 14c | 143.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 38c | 100.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 37c | 96.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 95.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Yes | 60c | 83.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 40c | 65.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 70c | 65.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 61c | 58.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 62c | 56.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Yes | 61c | 40.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Yes | 60c | 32.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 41cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 62c | 32.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…2585backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 28.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 28.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 63c | 21.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 78c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 60c | 17.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.