NFL · resolved market
Will the Steelers and Jets combine for 39 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x622aff5c7c5b497c034fa2b7ce127625b366c154440723b73803016382df8a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f58…7fe5backed Under | 47c | 3,420$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…f840backed Over | 53c | 1,740$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…d69cbacked Over | 53c | 1,680$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Over | 57c | 971.88$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.24 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…512fbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358f…2d1bbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…eed1backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…6575backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ad…47a9backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…ddc9backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…9f13backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Over | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…f119backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…e209backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04d…f06abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…4c35backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…b4afbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…7ec8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…03e7backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…c0d1backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…7c1cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…fe4dbacked Under | 47c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Steelers and Jets combine for 39 or more points?this page
- Will the 49ers and Chiefs combine for 48 or more points?Under won
- Will the Bills and Titans combine for 41 or more points?Over won
- Will the Browns and Bengals combine for 42 or more points?Under won
- Will the Colts and Dolphins combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Commanders and Panthers combine for 52 or more points?Under won
- Will the Falcons and Seahawks combine for 51 or more points?Under won
- Will the Giants and Eagles combine for 43 or more points?Under won
- Will the Jaguars and Patriots combine for 42 or more points?Over won
- Will the Packers and Texans combine for 48 or more points?Under won
- Will the Rams and Raiders combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Vikings and Lions combine for 51 or more points?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.