NFL · resolved market
Will the Packers and Texans combine for 48 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cbd49f78e28eb2b5ed1018d3d07aa865a131af63b9ff43c28201797841420a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 49c | 571.66$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.37 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Over | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…6575backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ad…47a9backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…b4afbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…9f13backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…e209backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…4c35backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…ccf9backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…df2fbacked Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Over | 51c | 42.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Packers and Texans combine for 48 or more points?this page
- Will the 49ers and Chiefs combine for 48 or more points?Under won
- Will the Bills and Titans combine for 41 or more points?Over won
- Will the Browns and Bengals combine for 42 or more points?Under won
- Will the Colts and Dolphins combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Commanders and Panthers combine for 52 or more points?Under won
- Will the Falcons and Seahawks combine for 51 or more points?Under won
- Will the Giants and Eagles combine for 43 or more points?Under won
- Will the Jaguars and Patriots combine for 42 or more points?Over won
- Will the Rams and Raiders combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Steelers and Jets combine for 39 or more points?Over won
- Will the Vikings and Lions combine for 51 or more points?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.