NFL · resolved market
Will the Falcons and Seahawks combine for 51 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6128c9f30cafaaeba776f4bd8e90b9c89badd6d4335f366d7fc4081e4fa1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 45c | 689.3$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…9f13backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ad…47a9backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…4af4backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 51c | 27.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Falcons and Seahawks combine for 51 or more points?this page
- Will the 49ers and Chiefs combine for 48 or more points?Under won
- Will the Bills and Titans combine for 41 or more points?Over won
- Will the Browns and Bengals combine for 42 or more points?Under won
- Will the Colts and Dolphins combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Commanders and Panthers combine for 52 or more points?Under won
- Will the Giants and Eagles combine for 43 or more points?Under won
- Will the Jaguars and Patriots combine for 42 or more points?Over won
- Will the Packers and Texans combine for 48 or more points?Under won
- Will the Rams and Raiders combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Steelers and Jets combine for 39 or more points?Over won
- Will the Vikings and Lions combine for 51 or more points?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.