CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x623673e97d9b2c91b9e21a46fd644d4db97b231b4e97bf60460fd2eb8452579f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Gaimin Gladiators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Gaimin Gladiators | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed G2 | 65c | 3,989$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.98 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed G2 | 64c | 1,891$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.52 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 | 64c | 1,071$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.66 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gaimin Gladiators | 35c | 699.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gaimin Gladiators | 37c | 505.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 36c | 389.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked G2 | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gaimin Gladiators | 35c | 283.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 37c | 270.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked G2 | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Gaimin Gladiators | 32c | 117.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed G2 | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…bbdfbacked G2 | 68c | 81.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Gaimin Gladiators | 28c | 69.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…07f5backed G2 | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked G2 | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed G2 | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked G2 | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed G2 | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed G2 | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.