CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x623cc711d2f9c59bb842cc4f05356dbfe8a836935a6755545d3209257ccf03bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Keyd, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial | 71c | 4,999$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.78 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Imperial | 51c | 1,735$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.6 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Keyd | 52c | 1,232$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.92 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Keyd | 36c | 351.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Imperial | 74c | 336.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 49c | 329.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 54c | 263.21$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 52c | 247.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Imperial | 42c | 240.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Keyd | 12c | 226$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 51c | 199.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…82a2backed Keyd | 63c | 175.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 47c | 167.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Keyd | 31c | 133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Keyd | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Keyd | 26c | 118.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Keyd | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Imperial | 27c | 91.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Keyd | 43c | 87.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Keyd | 28c | 85.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 40c | 83.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Imperial | 45c | 74.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Keyd | 25c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Keyd | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Keyd | 25c | 48.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Keyd | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial | 36c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 56c | 31.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…1d31backed Imperial | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Keyd | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Keyd | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Keyd | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 61c | 22.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Imperial | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…bdd3backed Keyd | 74c | 18.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5)Imperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.