CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2432db9bb708c2103ba4bf0783401191d376f7219efcea50a61467ca329a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Keyd, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial | 76c | 2,413$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.84 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Keyd | 11c | 2,321$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 78c | 1,313$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Imperial | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Keyd | 22c | 1,144$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Imperial | 79c | 937.29$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 30c | 664$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Keyd | 20c | 459.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Keyd | 23c | 435.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Keyd | 23c | 408.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Imperial | 79c | 392.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 20c | 384.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Keyd | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Keyd | 21c | 268.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 17c | 255.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Keyd | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed Keyd | 10c | 238.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Imperial | 79c | 204.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 76c | 192.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Keyd | 22c | 185.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Keyd | 30c | 165.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Keyd | 23c | 160.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Keyd | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Imperial | 77c | 149.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Keyd | 27c | 145.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Imperial | 77c | 141.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Keyd | 21c | 136.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Keyd | 21c | 131.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Keyd | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Keyd | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Keyd | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…9cc5backed Keyd | 21c | 101.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…82a2backed Keyd | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Keyd | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Keyd | 29c | 81.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…38d0backed Keyd | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 76c | 74.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…fd10backed Imperial | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Keyd | 21c | 51.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Imperial | 78c | 45.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Keyd | 33c | 40.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Imperial | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Imperial | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Imperial | 70c | 22.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Imperial | 79c | 21.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Imperial | 79c | 20.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Imperial | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Imperial | 79c | 19.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5)Imperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.