Tennis · resolved market
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6265697bb70d93b66017537629fa0fb1dd528c992009408c7ad9fa6be9967ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Neumayerof Lukas Neumayer, Chun-Hsin Tseng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 14c | 6,151$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 18c | 3,278$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 48c | 2,924$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer | 61c | 1,773$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 34c | 1,476$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 32c | 1,017$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 40c | 1,012$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.74 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 31c | 979.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…615bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 859.13$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 507.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 59c | 462.9$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lukas Neumayer | 64c | 381.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 40c | 318.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 47c | 228.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 45c | 211.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 56c | 154.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Lukas Neumayer | 57c | 129.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 71c | 112.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lukas Neumayer | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Lukas Neumayer | 65c | 58.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 49.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lukas Neumayer | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 39c | 39.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Lukas Neumayer | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…b2b3backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 73c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Lukas Neumayer | 58c | 19.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Lukas Neumayer | 56c | 19.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Lukas Neumayer | 61c | 18.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.