Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628df90bbc41106108668052eda2115f01e919dcdcf99b5c64540814f1816646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,029 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Yes | 36c | 27,305$9,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,756.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 8,943$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.95 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 6,434$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 64c | 3,355$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.65 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 2,814$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.04 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 65c | 2,655$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.32 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 14c | 1,245$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 64c | 1,083$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.77 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 5c | 875.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 65c | 609$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 525.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 35c | 512.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 374.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 316$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 64c | 260$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 65c | 224.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 36c | 211$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 64c | 203$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 64c | 178.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 128.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 117$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 35c | 113.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 109.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 33c | 102.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…b18abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 78.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 35.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 34c | 31.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 64c | 27.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed No | 64c | 27.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 64c | 26.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed No | 64c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 63c | 17.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 64c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.