Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Jan Simonsson vs Jonathan Mridha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b65f997d1e2b04ea1366eb58bc22f22710cb5ba01f9603319d7fd702269739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Simonssonof Jan Simonsson, Jonathan Mridha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jonathan Mridha | 4c | 1,173$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Jan Simonsson | 15c | 845.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.22 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Simonsson | 66c | 712.01$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Jan Simonsson | 50c | 474.38$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.83 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Jonathan Mridha | 69c | 432.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jonathan Mridha | 78c | 219.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jan Simonsson | 42c | 206.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Jan Simonsson | 28c | 187.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jonathan Mridha | 70c | 130.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Jonathan Mridha | 57c | 123.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Jonathan Mridha | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Jonathan Mridha | 57c | 94.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jonathan Mridha | 50c | 87.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Jan Simonsson | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Jan Simonsson | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jan Simonsson | 51c | 78.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Jan Simonsson | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jonathan Mridha | 61c | 58.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jonathan Mridha | 65c | 57.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Jonathan Mridha | 42c | 40.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Jan Simonsson | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Jan Simonsson | 55c | 25.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Jan Simonsson | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Jonathan Mridha | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Jan Simonsson | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.