CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e5376409aa780cf8f944f0707ced575ce7ce490921366722a52b8329e3d037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,780 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda17…abc5backed BIG | 52c | 1,627$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.88 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 1,003$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.83 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 49c | 871.39$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 743.71$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked BIG | 50c | 614.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.37 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 544.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BIG | 32c | 429.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.81 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 420$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 408$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 400$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 390$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 50c | 239.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 167.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 142.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 128.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 125.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BIG | 50c | 124.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed BIG | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BIG | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 96.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed BIG | 51c | 91.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2a05backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Gentle Mates | 28c | 87.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed BIG | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…52fdbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked BIG | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked BIG | 52c | 60.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked BIG | 42c | 57.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8364…9684backed BIG | 36c | 47.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…b98fbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 28.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BIG | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed BIG | 63c | 27.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed BIG | 51c | 25.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 20.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.