Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63021de4ccd390309c29d967880fe8ee4d5ce06f050706958cb6f7f9ab7fa8ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,373 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.94 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 47c | 3,746$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 58c | 2,825$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,755$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 2,099$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 47c | 420.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 339.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 58c | 176$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 36c | 164.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 58c | 95.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 58c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Over | 58c | 82.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 60.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Over | 56c | 58.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 41c | 39.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 33.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 58c | 32.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 60c | 31.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 38c | 28.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Under | 44c | 27.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 60c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 58c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.