CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63145a33754922a0e2c01893e146670da4fc0e26ad1a9b51e880036e6b824f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Johnny Speeds, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,486 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Johnny Speeds | 65c | 4,765$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 37c | 3,597$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 586.42$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 584.56$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 15c | 388.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 293.27$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 255$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 159.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 159$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 65.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Johnny Speeds | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…74fcbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 43.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 29.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Johnny Speeds | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.