CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ea6a165674e0afc5efe2579cacb287054fafd9689a398d5a70277f427eecba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,495 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x222b…3becbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 4,096$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 3,314$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.11 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 613.13$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 475.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…9952backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 291$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…bd09backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 284$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…33f9backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 269$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…363abacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 223$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 207.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 198.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 196.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 190.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 167.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 127.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 109.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 75.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 68.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked ex-RUBY | 33c | 62.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…a8a3backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 59.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…5bb5backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 59.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 58.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 54.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 54.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 53.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 43.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Johnny Speeds | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.