Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63147970b545c76286d4569704005b9d043070eddd9781ea4e9b1c639be80285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boogaardof Medvedev, Boogaard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Medvedev | 58c | 399.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Boogaard | 34c | 351.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Boogaard | 73c | 310.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…c40dbacked Boogaard | 54c | 141.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Boogaard | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Medvedev | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Medvedev | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Boogaard | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Medvedev | 69c | 75.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Medvedev | 67c | 72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Boogaard | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Boogaard | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Boogaard | 77c | 35.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Medvedev | 67c | 34.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Boogaard | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Medvedev | 67c | 24.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Boogaard | 71c | 19.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Medvedev | 69c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Medvedev | 70c | 14.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5)this page
- Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs BoogaardDaniil Medvedev won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs BoogaardMedvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.