Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x638438701de258fc4f5e0c47a891dfbac63d5b0895465bc8a0a9d7a629f9de1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 47c | 905$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.35 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 808.22$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.78 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 47c | 599.94$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.17 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 53c | 441.2$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 228.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 228.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 221.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 156.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 55c | 87.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 55c | 53.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Yes | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 56c | 46.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 55c | 39.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 55c | 35.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 55c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 56c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Alverca (-1.5)FC Arouca won
- Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)FC Alverca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.