Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64944ff03509f06698bb5dcc168a12ffc67a3cdbd8b4ffc90184d55db8c37454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 53c | 22,977$12,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.27 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 2,678$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 1,574$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 56c | 778$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.32 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 747.74$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.48 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 367.31$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 53c | 281.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 274.09$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 52c | 228.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 55c | 147.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 145.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 114.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 53c | 109.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 13c | 91.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 64.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 42c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…c837backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 51.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed No | 52c | 21.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.