South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6495dde0f3844b2720b48b3f7d55cd9db396144cac3410596052576c3b9a1dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Yes | 52c | 32,244$16,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,483.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 48c | 17,724$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.74 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 5,132$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 4,259$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.82 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 3,024$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 15c | 2,071$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.89 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 53c | 1,517$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.1 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 1,175$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.25 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 49c | 816.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 575.6$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.14 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 23c | 561.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 14c | 477.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 47c | 308.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed No | 49c | 260.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 113.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 39c | 78.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked No | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Yes | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 60.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…7920backed No | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 54c | 37.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…7684backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 50c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 63c | 24.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 52c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 63c | 17.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 75c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.