Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Haven Chargers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c3c59dc6869d3a28445d05acec68d4ffaa45e9fce818fb6614519329620caf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Haven Chargersof New Haven Chargers, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 57c | 2,063$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.95 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked New Haven Chargers | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 9c | 319.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Haven Chargers | 49c | 134.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New Haven Chargers | 39c | 112.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New Haven Chargers | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 59c | 59.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Haven Chargers | 41c | 53.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked New Haven Chargers | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 32.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked New Haven Chargers | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Haven Chargers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsthis page
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 122.5Over won
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 123.5Over won
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-2.5)New Haven Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.