Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Virtanen (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64eaa4f9254edf1ef43509064529f46fa5f2da3adfe7bb5ddaf8552917ba58a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtanenof Virtanen, Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Harris | 36c | 399.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Virtanen | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Harris | 44c | 295$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Harris | 52c | 245.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Virtanen | 49c | 181.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Virtanen | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Virtanen | 64c | 75.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Virtanen | 64c | 75.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Virtanen | 64c | 67.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Virtanen | 48c | 61.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Harris | 48c | 49.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Virtanen | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Virtanen | 55c | 39.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Virtanen | 64c | 29.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Harris | 45c | 27.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtanen | 54c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Virtanen | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Virtanen (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5)this page
- Nottingham 2: Billy Harris vs Otto VirtanenOtto Virtanen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.