Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 2: Billy Harris vs Otto Virtanen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d5ea1fa6297076a93b18dd40496a44846f1a7dab5f2c1fcf6638211f666ca5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otto Virtanenof Billy Harris, Otto Virtanen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Billy Harris | 25c | 3,892$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.12 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Billy Harris | 14c | 3,718$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Billy Harris | 23c | 3,011$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Otto Virtanen | 80c | 2,516$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Billy Harris | 14c | 2,195$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Billy Harris | 32c | 2,031$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.04 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Billy Harris | 21c | 1,900$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Billy Harris | 15c | 1,883$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 1,609$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Billy Harris | 13c | 1,539$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Otto Virtanen | 79c | 1,506$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Otto Virtanen | 74c | 1,454$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Billy Harris | 22c | 1,388$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.63 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 1,214$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Billy Harris | 19c | 1,032$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Billy Harris | 15c | 823.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Billy Harris | 23c | 813.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Billy Harris | 12c | 808.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Otto Virtanen | 73c | 685.27$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Billy Harris | 29c | 572.55$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Otto Virtanen | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Billy Harris | 11c | 473.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Billy Harris | 25c | 403$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Billy Harris | 13c | 386.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Billy Harris | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Billy Harris | 25c | 373.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Billy Harris | 13c | 317.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3a25backed Billy Harris | 14c | 314.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Otto Virtanen | 74c | 296.16$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…406cbacked Billy Harris | 25c | 282.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Billy Harris | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Billy Harris | 36c | 264.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Billy Harris | 12c | 262.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Billy Harris | 28c | 261.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Billy Harris | 26c | 244.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Billy Harris | 21c | 233.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Billy Harris | 25c | 232.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Otto Virtanen | 70c | 219.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Billy Harris | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Otto Virtanen | 75c | 192.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Billy Harris | 22c | 157.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…82c5backed Billy Harris | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Billy Harris | 18c | 125.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Billy Harris | 15c | 122$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Billy Harris | 13c | 121.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Billy Harris | 35c | 118.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Otto Virtanen | 73c | 115.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 103.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Billy Harris | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Billy Harris | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Billy Harris | 23c | 90.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…9410backed Billy Harris | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Billy Harris | 25c | 86.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Billy Harris | 26c | 79.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Otto Virtanen | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Otto Virtanen | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Billy Harris | 22c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Otto Virtanen | 74c | 69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Billy Harris | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…80b1backed Billy Harris | 30c | 63.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdde…abcfbacked Billy Harris | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Otto Virtanen | 76c | 58.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Billy Harris | 22c | 58.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Billy Harris | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Otto Virtanen | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Otto Virtanen | 75c | 43.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Billy Harris | 36c | 41.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Billy Harris | 36c | 41.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Otto Virtanen | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Billy Harris | 31c | 36.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 33.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Otto Virtanen | 75c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Otto Virtanen | 68c | 32.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Otto Virtanen | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Otto Virtanen | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Otto Virtanen | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…98b8backed Otto Virtanen | 80c | 14.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Otto Virtanen | 77c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham 2: Billy Harris vs Otto Virtanenthis page
- Set Handicap: Virtanen (-1.5) vs Harris (+1.5)Virtanen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.