Cricket · resolved market
ECS England: Upminster vs Markhor London
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65256e0f4875cfb61dc385dcaacb549a0d26c0b0c1cbdfeab897dac704a3bfda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Markhor Londonof Upminster, Markhor London
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Upminster | 33c | 2,095$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.61 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Markhor London | 68c | 1,435$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.91 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Upminster | 64c | 656.27$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.61 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Markhor London | 11c | 299.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.83 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Markhor London | 68c | 234.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Markhor London | 27c | 189.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Markhor London | 58c | 138.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Markhor London | 52c | 130.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Upminster | 73c | 127.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Upminster | 54c | 123.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Upminster | 13c | 113.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Markhor London | 42c | 99.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Markhor London | 14c | 97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Upminster | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Upminster | 39c | 75.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Markhor London | 67c | 71.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Markhor London | 31c | 71.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Upminster | 25c | 51.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Upminster | 36c | 45.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Upminster | 35c | 38.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Upminster | 44c | 33.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Upminster | 33c | 30.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Markhor London | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Markhor London | 58c | 26.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.