Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ekaterina Kuznetsova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6545175b673633dfd65380f6ebee315c7ff3df1bc1ada181a4ea1c753234023d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterina Maklakovaof Ekaterina Maklakova, Ekaterina Kuznetsova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 79c | 1,856$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 21c | 1,502$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 30c | 1,219$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 29c | 489.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 21c | 469.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 71c | 425.46$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 77c | 410.27$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 78c | 236$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 25c | 178.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 80c | 175.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 26c | 97.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 32c | 66.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 21c | 66.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 75c | 54.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 80c | 51.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 79c | 50.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 30c | 45.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…8865backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 35c | 40.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…fd88backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 33c | 30.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 76c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 80c | 24.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.