Asian League · resolved market
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x654519fe9b467c5d4c3530c97e57e6978242a5153c19ff8c69ae4226c40cbf80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,694$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 1,044$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.01 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 50c | 923.5$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.75 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 229.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 213.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 70.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 61.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 57.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 50.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 40.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 36.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 43c | 27.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 57c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5this page
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 3.5Over won
- JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.