Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65511621c45a207af06dbf8d8e94aa5c77788b7eac2ca72a9b49395658c5dd7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,332$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.32 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 764.81$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 29c | 490$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 28c | 238.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 33c | 228.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 225.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 132.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Under | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 28c | 78.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 68.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 52c | 42.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 33.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SV Darmstadt 98 won
- Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.