Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2d074281e832479b6a91605e914005a12f78957c3f515cbd2aa34f784ae76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 314.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 249.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 134.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 60c | 83.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 24c | 56.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 57c | 52.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 51c | 50.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 49.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 58c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 26.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)SV Darmstadt 98 won
- Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
- Spread: SV Darmstadt 98 (-2.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.