Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Yuquan Jin vs Xin Zhou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655b9dd948cd4b8ec5d8d609937b4c4b8eeb13b9083b07ac003b2a6035963337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xin Zhouof Yuquan Jin, Xin Zhou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Yuquan Jin | 61c | 4,955$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Xin Zhou | 50c | 2,000$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.73 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xin Zhou | 48c | 1,094$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.14 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Yuquan Jin | 60c | 876.97$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.62 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Xin Zhou | 50c | 654.45$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.93 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xin Zhou | 41c | 618.26$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xin Zhou | 39c | 585.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.61 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Xin Zhou | 43c | 575.36$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.93 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xin Zhou | 62c | 410$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yuquan Jin | 61c | 373.76$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Yuquan Jin | 60c | 369.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Xin Zhou | 32c | 342.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yuquan Jin | 41c | 334.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yuquan Jin | 59c | 286.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yuquan Jin | 13c | 252.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Xin Zhou | 36c | 245.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xin Zhou | 38c | 235.38$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Xin Zhou | 37c | 171$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Xin Zhou | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yuquan Jin | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Yuquan Jin | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yuquan Jin | 37c | 81.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Xin Zhou | 38c | 81.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xin Zhou | 32c | 79.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Yuquan Jin | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Yuquan Jin | 73c | 68.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…9036backed Xin Zhou | 39c | 66.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed Xin Zhou | 55c | 64.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yuquan Jin | 28c | 55.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yuquan Jin | 67c | 49.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Xin Zhou | 45c | 40.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Xin Zhou | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Yuquan Jin | 78c | 31.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Yuquan Jin | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Xin Zhou | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yuquan Jin | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Yuquan Jin | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Yuquan Jin | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yuquan Jin | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yuquan Jin | 71c | 14.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Yuquan Jin vs Xin Zhouthis page
- Jin vs. Zhou: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Jin vs. Zhou: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Jin vs. Zhou: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.