CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b0d02cd8667c84cca36c0b8f69101d98f18b80843ccf5794a93bf72ffcee33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof ex-RUSTEC, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 591.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed UNiTY esports | 45c | 540.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 257.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked UNiTY esports | 44c | 249.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 229.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 156.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UNiTY esports | 44c | 132.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed UNiTY esports | 50c | 115.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 115.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked UNiTY esports | 49c | 113.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked UNiTY esports | 48c | 109.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC | 16c | 103.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 91.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed UNiTY esports | 27c | 89.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 86.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked UNiTY esports | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…3d4cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 75.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 66.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUSTEC | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed UNiTY esports | 47c | 63.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 55.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed UNiTY esports | 46c | 54.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 45.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked ex-RUSTEC | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed ex-RUSTEC | 78c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed UNiTY esports | 31c | 41.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked UNiTY esports | 63c | 40.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked UNiTY esports | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked UNiTY esports | 48c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 28.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Cex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.