Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ce4655bd4760460c9127de1969f8c1a80171beb69b8e832c942f15739d5c40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 29,532$14,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,398.89 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 20,133$10,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,480.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 52c | 3,416$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.01 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 2,292$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.84 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 52c | 1,908$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,523$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.96 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 52c | 1,215$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,085$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.56 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 541.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 49c | 459$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.09 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 343.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 341.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 287.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 109.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 52c | 104.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Under | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 47c | 43.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 37.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Over | 49c | 35.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 52c | 28.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 52c | 28.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 52c | 27.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…2a2fbacked Under | 52c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 145.5this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Loyola Chicago RamblersSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-3.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.