Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ce65bd5639b15c23ea2d8b543ffd995cda32d639b68774cde6a11383ded5f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 2,422$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 66c | 1,550$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 17c | 1,190$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,044$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.17 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,019$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 517.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 330.24$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 298.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 70c | 297.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 286$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…0fbabacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 201.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 185.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 35c | 146.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 72c | 116.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 99.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 69c | 53.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 30c | 34.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 65c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.