Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1040c78d37076484456bb5640e579fe39aa25c8ed64fd8f323e9bbc542290465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,166$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 41c | 455.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 372.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 294.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 262$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 205.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 154.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 149.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…a6ebbacked Yes | 74c | 130.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…d868backed Yes | 65c | 94.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed No | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 53.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 30c | 36.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…4216backed Yes | 30c | 35.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…8a3dbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 68c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.