CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x661f98ce3fa183d325893a1a6f2b2beced16e27a55061d8cb85d2a6a76762d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof Team Nemesis, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 7,828$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.71 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Infinite | 44c | 4,635$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Infinite | 70c | 4,122$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.73 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 2,138$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.24 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Infinite | 53c | 1,664$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Infinite | 53c | 750$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Infinite | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Infinite | 31c | 644.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.54 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 644$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 433$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Infinite | 53c | 358.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Infinite | 68c | 295.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Infinite | 36c | 270.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Infinite | 79c | 194.52$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 188.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Infinite | 56c | 172.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 171.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Infinite | 63c | 163.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Infinite | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 83.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Infinite | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Infinite | 35c | 41.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 32.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Infinite | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Infinite | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 22.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 22.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group AInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)Infinite won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.