Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Juan Bautista Torres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6632c91babe40bd314685eda2f1e5a00e0cf1876e1af5aa573a529121b4f14f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torresof Marcondes, Torres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Torres | 72c | 1,491$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marcondes | 11c | 965.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Marcondes | 32c | 905.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marcondes | 26c | 479.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marcondes | 46c | 423.52$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Torres | 49c | 413.18$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marcondes | 9c | 410.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Torres | 53c | 393.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Torres | 50c | 385.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Marcondes | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marcondes | 31c | 310.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Torres | 66c | 291.22$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Marcondes | 20c | 283.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marcondes | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Torres | 51c | 241.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Marcondes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Torres | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Marcondes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Marcondes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Marcondes | 49c | 163.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Marcondes | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marcondes | 36c | 137.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marcondes | 23c | 137.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Torres | 54c | 136.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Marcondes | 29c | 119.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Torres | 76c | 115$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Torres | 53c | 110.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Marcondes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Torres | 75c | 104.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marcondes | 47c | 101.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Torres | 80c | 87.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Torres | 76c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Torres | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Torres | 52c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Marcondes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Torres | 72c | 47.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Torres | 79c | 44.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Marcondes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Marcondes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Marcondes | 46c | 32.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Marcondes | 46c | 32.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Torres | 54c | 31.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Torres | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Marcondes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marcondes | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Marcondes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…6b0abacked Torres | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9590…d49fbacked Marcondes | 46c | 22.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Torres | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Marcondes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Marcondes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torres | 62c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Torres | 72c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.