NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x664d904c119aafd8d126060a6d3f3c710ab124ea7e79afb5b3c4300ebdf00f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Red Wings | 50c | 21,844$10,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.81 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Wild | 53c | 12,565$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.51 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wild | 53c | 6,089$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.03 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 51c | 4,957$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Wild | 65c | 4,715$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.14 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 29c | 2,781$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 36c | 2,700$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.23 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…d206backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…22e9backed Wild | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,747$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,403$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.81 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,342$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.54 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…5151backed Wild | 53c | 1,116$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…3620backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,063$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.56 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…49f3backed Red Wings | 49c | 997.96$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…a29cbacked Wild | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea70…3c44backed Wild | 53c | 945.03$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…ec66backed Red Wings | 49c | 940.82$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings | 46c | 856.52$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.46 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wild | 54c | 800.06$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.22 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild | 53c | 756.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wild | 52c | 719.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.38 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 705$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Wild | 53c | 561.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 46c | 515.24$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Red Wings | 71c | 435.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wild | 52c | 253.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc21c…5803backed Wild | 53c | 249.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Wild | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Red Wings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Wild | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…bcb2backed Wild | 52c | 183.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…eda0backed Red Wings | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd0ebacked Wild | 55c | 148.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…0d50backed Red Wings | 49c | 147.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…1387backed Red Wings | 49c | 130.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…df54backed Wild | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…63abbacked Red Wings | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…d7d9backed Wild | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…4e10backed Wild | 52c | 109.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Wild | 52c | 106.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…ef31backed Red Wings | 49c | 104.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec5…58f5backed Red Wings | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Red Wings | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wild | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Wild | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Wild | 52c | 96.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Wild | 53c | 86.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings | 47c | 82.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Red Wings | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wild | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Red Wings | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Wild | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…79f2backed Red Wings | 49c | 70.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…20b4backed Red Wings | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…143bbacked Wild | 52c | 66.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b61…33e2backed Wild | 55c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Wild | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Red Wings | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 52c | 50.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…733cbacked Red Wings | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…4b88backed Wild | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Wild | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Red Wings | 47c | 48.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Wild | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…b5afbacked Red Wings | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…b903backed Red Wings | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…867bbacked Red Wings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…11afbacked Wild | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…c5fdbacked Red Wings | 49c | 40.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…92b6backed Wild | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…cb14backed Wild | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…555abacked Red Wings | 49c | 33.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…78e6backed Wild | 52c | 32.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb156…16fdbacked Red Wings | 49c | 31.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Wild | 52c | 31.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…35a8backed Red Wings | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Red Wings | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Wild | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…2f47backed Wild | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…7f88backed Wild | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Wild | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Wild | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…184cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…8ca9backed Wild | 53c | 21.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…1d32backed Red Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…03f8backed Wild | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.