South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667e3889d2f12f050cf11b200a674d3891c2e45fee9dd7effd0a02d609f7e34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 1,040$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 22c | 1,013$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 729.89$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 599.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 514.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 77c | 213$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 77c | 179$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 77c | 160.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Over | 77c | 103$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 78c | 99.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Over | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 77c | 88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 77c | 84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 82.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Over | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 77c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Over | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 78c | 47.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…4216backed Under | 24c | 44.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Under | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Over | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.