Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66807f0cd92a8b0ffe0857fd57669e8b594e73824304eb82a42b64dd13ce628c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 735.94$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 46c | 466.39$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 59c | 212$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 45c | 156.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 136.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 80.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…c7a7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…2b6bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 25c | 48.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 35.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 62c | 23.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 71c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-03?this page
- Will Falkirk FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.