CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668163e71ea7ebf75f5a4f5ab866114d2a0289cccdced2993fa6bd039cfa147f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Vexar | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Sashi Esport | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5c5ebacked Sashi Esport | 77c | 522$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 15c | 445$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vexar | 29c | 317$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 1,444 | 33.4%482 W · 962 L | +39.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vexar | 20c | 210.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sashi Esport | 78c | 179.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Vexar | 22c | 91.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…ecf7backed Vexar | 36c | 84.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Sashi Esport | 74c | 46.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Sashi Esport | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sashi Esport | 78c | 31.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sashi Esport | 78c | 27.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 402 | 54%217 W · 185 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Sashi Esport | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 123 | 75.6%93 W · 30 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Sashi Esport | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 44 | 88.6%39 W · 5 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta PlayoffsSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar - Map 1 WinnerVexar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.