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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, Vexar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x347d…8165backed Sashi Esport63c10,635$6,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.081181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.32per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Sashi Esport67c10,176$6,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.841,04252.5%547 W · 495 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee0…9340backed Sashi Esport76c9,191$7,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.771090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03dc…99e1backed Vexar34c8,300$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Vexar36c6,815$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75d…a961backed Vexar35c6,575$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Vexar29c5,449$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.571,43233.6%481 W · 951 L+41.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1285…6a2fbacked Vexar29c3,533$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6445…5213backed Sashi Esport78c3,500$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.962878.6%22 W · 6 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+43.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sashi Esport65c3,477$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.495,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Vexar36c3,228$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.394746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Vexar35c3,096$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.059470.2%66 W · 28 L+19.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.1%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ac87backed Vexar40c3,062$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.613652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexar30c2,525$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.088,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Vexar25c2,435$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.53,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0685…523dbacked Sashi Esport71c2,270$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.521492.9%13 W · 1 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Sashi Esport62c2,169$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.051,68053.2%893 W · 787 L+65.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x792c…d2ecbacked Vexar36c2,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.753863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5779…0fddbacked Vexar30c1,994$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9e…bb7fbacked Sashi Esport64c1,889$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6771471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45cc…bea1backed Sashi Esport71c1,860$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.558100%8 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed Sashi Esport71c1,851$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.073652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Sashi Esport62c1,754$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67016251.2%83 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Vexar27c1,700$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.0844951%229 W · 220 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Sashi Esport62c1,638$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.0922952.4%120 W · 109 L+22.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Sashi Esport62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.961855.8%345 W · 273 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…7db2backed Sashi Esport68c1,505$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.251984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+52.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xafcb…df99backed Vexar33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf96…09adbacked Vexar35c1,310$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Vexar26c1,295$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.381,16142.2%490 W · 671 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…5277backed Sashi Esport76c1,282$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Vexar19c1,250$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4221753%115 W · 102 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Vexar12c1,245$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3515821.5%34 W · 124 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Vexar28c1,214$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2732143.6%140 W · 181 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexar19c1,213$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.952,42246.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L-56.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…9133backed Sashi Esport77c1,174$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Vexar33c1,133$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6234049.7%169 W · 171 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Vexar21c1,103$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.761142.7%261 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Sashi Esport72c1,100$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5914648.6%71 W · 75 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…306bbacked Vexar31c1,015$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.081560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8f…2aeebacked Vexar22c1,002$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.986339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf06…391fbacked Sashi Esport75c957.64$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Vexar21c949.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7491131%282 W · 629 L-63.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vexar33c941.51$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.495,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Vexar25c921.32$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.692,53643.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6865…7b0cbacked Sashi Esport62c913.14$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f9…5e1abacked Sashi Esport67c877.8$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb733…0261backed Sashi Esport65c853.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x894e…98dcbacked Vexar27c798.54$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Vexar38c785$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.911760.7%71 W · 46 L+11.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Vexar25c770$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8138145.9%175 W · 206 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Vexar38c760.78$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.110161.4%62 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Sashi Esport62c744.11$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0548554.6%265 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar25c718.27$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3223345.9%107 W · 126 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Sashi Esport65c662.15$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6741651%212 W · 204 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Vexar12c658.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0429640.2%119 W · 177 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sashi Esport64c607.47$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.682,67451.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L+25.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Vexar37c605.49$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.857054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed Vexar15c574.49$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.674456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Vexar19c529.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Vexar18c518.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7914537.2%54 W · 91 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe0…9e71backed Sashi Esport71c510$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.98100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+100.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Sashi Esport68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16020756%116 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Vexar36c479.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.323852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ae…c095backed Sashi Esport76c478.28$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.795100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Vexar29c450.74$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9615439.6%61 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Vexar30c445.75$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.934048.5%165 W · 175 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Vexar34c428.31$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4530437.8%115 W · 189 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa582…3ac9backed Vexar26c412.81$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.931315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sashi Esport71c411.18$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.291,68347%791 W · 892 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Sashi Esport74c407.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.469369.9%65 W · 28 L+13.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Vexar25c403.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.861,02648.8%501 W · 525 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Sashi Esport65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017450.6%88 W · 86 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Sashi Esport69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1245334%18 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Vexar38c394.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.863161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Sashi Esport78c385.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1318862.2%117 W · 71 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vexar23c379.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.634,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked Vexar29c356.55$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.374841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x824a…3952backed Vexar30c345.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5514939.6%59 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Vexar16c338.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.052,58534.6%894 W · 1,691 L-200.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3456…57ecbacked Sashi Esport72c335$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.351163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f2…bcfdbacked Vexar22c331.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Vexar29c327$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3154448.2%262 W · 282 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Vexar22c325$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.275,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Vexar22c318.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.984343.3%365 W · 478 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…7a52backed Vexar20c315.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.147642.1%32 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Vexar19c310.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3235826%93 W · 265 L-16.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Vexar19c301.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4516136.6%59 W · 102 L-13.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Sashi Esport78c299.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Vexar16c298.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.753,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Vexar33c292.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.863155.3%349 W · 282 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c0…7003backed Vexar30c291.76$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.762941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Vexar18c289.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.551,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff4…5607backed Sashi Esport79c288.65$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbac…6b32backed Vexar38c282.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.883551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1764…7acbbacked Vexar14c271.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3bb…476ebacked Vexar30c269.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vexar17c260$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.91,61329.6%478 W · 1,135 L-90.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Sashi Esport76c258.44$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0311167.6%75 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vexar22c249.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.772,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.