MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6687788e30e499b92ab18aa0208b05dca1da960f44a3efb3f15e3f6a9d25b60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Colorado Rockies, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Colorado Rockies | 0c | 17,877$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 16,061$5,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.49 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 9,486$5,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 5,197$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 4,141$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.03 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 2,714$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.69 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 2,101$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.56 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 1,957$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 1,259$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.49 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 629.5$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 448.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 434.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 126.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Colorado Rockies | 27c | 99.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 43.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 35.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.