Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6693186b775382538986330bfee6938b243acf7bb9f8c20d358d0458c1d476aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 51c | 44,059$22,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,464.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 49c | 35,457$17,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,083 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 2,919$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 2,290$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.72 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 79c | 2,002$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.11 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 30c | 1,887$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.74 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 6c | 983.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 49c | 946.78$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.17 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 4c | 787.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 664.86$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 52c | 482.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 48c | 462.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Yes | 49c | 398.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 8c | 250.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 224.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 15c | 191.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 8c | 183.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 51c | 112.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 109.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…6570backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee0…c073backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 71c | 52.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 49.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Yes | 49c | 36.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 48c | 27.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Yes | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc189…b79bbacked Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.