Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida Bulls vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a0f11927d25e12d9508890e0229528fe9be8ab35a5542e7e568f4ab344c847
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 23,952$12,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,440.51 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 20,199$9,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,654.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,773$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.31 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 46c | 1,612$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.52 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 1,071$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.95 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 47c | 914.89$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 47c | 585$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 54c | 462.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 53c | 290.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 234.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 215.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 183$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 118$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 46c | 108.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 90.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 86.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 53c | 75.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 47c | 65.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked Over | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida Bulls vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 158.5this page
- South Florida Bulls vs. Tulane Green WaveSouth Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.